BEGIN:VCALENDAR VERSION:2.0 PRODID:-//Mathematical Sciences - ECPv6.15.18//NONSGML v1.0//EN CALSCALE:GREGORIAN METHOD:PUBLISH X-WR-CALNAME:Mathematical Sciences X-ORIGINAL-URL:/math X-WR-CALDESC:Events for Mathematical Sciences REFRESH-INTERVAL;VALUE=DURATION:PT1H X-Robots-Tag:noindex X-PUBLISHED-TTL:PT1H BEGIN:VTIMEZONE TZID:America/Chicago BEGIN:DAYLIGHT TZOFFSETFROM:-0600 TZOFFSETTO:-0500 TZNAME:CDT DTSTART:20250309T080000 END:DAYLIGHT BEGIN:STANDARD TZOFFSETFROM:-0500 TZOFFSETTO:-0600 TZNAME:CST DTSTART:20251102T070000 END:STANDARD BEGIN:DAYLIGHT TZOFFSETFROM:-0600 TZOFFSETTO:-0500 TZNAME:CDT DTSTART:20260308T080000 END:DAYLIGHT BEGIN:STANDARD TZOFFSETFROM:-0500 TZOFFSETTO:-0600 TZNAME:CST DTSTART:20261101T070000 END:STANDARD BEGIN:DAYLIGHT TZOFFSETFROM:-0600 TZOFFSETTO:-0500 TZNAME:CDT DTSTART:20270314T080000 END:DAYLIGHT BEGIN:STANDARD TZOFFSETFROM:-0500 TZOFFSETTO:-0600 TZNAME:CST DTSTART:20271107T070000 END:STANDARD END:VTIMEZONE BEGIN:VEVENT DTSTART;TZID=America/Chicago:20260306T140000 DTEND;TZID=America/Chicago:20260306T150000 DTSTAMP:20260417T063750 CREATED:20260223T204210Z LAST-MODIFIED:20260223T204210Z UID:10016268-1772805600-1772809200@uwm.edu SUMMARY:Colloquium: Dr. Elaine Spiller DESCRIPTION:Uncertainty Quantification for Geophysical Hazard Analysis\nDr. Elaine Spiller\nProfessor of Applied Math and Statistics\nMarquette University \nGeophysical flows — landslides\, storm surge\, tsunamis\, volcanic flows\, etc — pose a serious threat to nearby populations. Ideally\, probabilistic hazard assessments combine available knowledge about physical mechanisms of the hazard\, data on past hazards\, and any available precursor information. Systematically assessing the probability of rare\, yet catastrophic hazards adds a layer of difficulty due to limited observational data. Via computer models\, one can exercise potentially dangerous scenarios that may not have happened in the past but are probabilistically consistent with the aleatoric nature of previous geophysical behavior in the record. \nI will discuss recent work and ongoing methodological challenges toward making efficient and flexible geophysical hazard maps focusing on applications to volcanic flows (pyroclastic density currents) and post-fire debris flows. URL:/math/event/colloquium-dr-elaine-spiller/ LOCATION:EMS Building\, E495\, 3200 N Cramer St\, Milwaukee\, WI\, United States CATEGORIES:Colloquia ORGANIZER;CN="The Department of Mathematical Sciences":MAILTO:math-staff@uwm.edu X-TRIBE-STATUS: END:VEVENT END:VCALENDAR