  {"id":276,"date":"2021-07-28T17:10:22","date_gmt":"2021-07-28T22:10:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/uwm.edu\/data-science\/?post_type=project&#038;p=276"},"modified":"2022-06-08T14:45:33","modified_gmt":"2022-06-08T19:45:33","slug":"advanced-ensemble-prediction-systems","status":"publish","type":"project","link":"https:\/\/uwm.edu\/data-science\/projects\/advanced-ensemble-prediction-systems\/","title":{"rendered":"Advanced Ensemble Prediction Systems"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Paul Roebber continues to develop a method, known as Evolutionary Programming, into a form that produces \u201censemble\u201d predictions for high-impact weather and climate scenarios, such as heavy rainfall, flash flooding or hurricanes. Ensemble prediction systems, or any collection of experts, suffer from too much agreement among individual predictions, which prevents properly capturing the actual probability distribution of an individual event. Roebber&#8217;s methods show considerable ability to provide skillful forecasts while also correcting this problem. The technique is applicable to any data (not just weather and climate), opening up a wide range of future applications, and it is fully adaptive to changing inputs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/uwm.edu\/data-science\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/565\/2021\/07\/RoebberJournal-Article-2018.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Article about this work<\/a> (PDF)<\/p>\n","protected":false},"template":"","project_program":[39],"project_topic":[38],"class_list":["post-276","project","type-project","status-publish","hentry","project_program-math","project_topic-weather"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.3 (Yoast SEO v27.3) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Data Science at 51ÁÔÆæ<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/uwm.edu\/data-science\/projects\/advanced-ensemble-prediction-systems\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Advanced Ensemble Prediction Systems\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Paul Roebber continues to develop a method, known as Evolutionary Programming, into a form that produces \u201censemble\u201d predictions for high-impact weather and climate scenarios, such as heavy rainfall, flash flooding or hurricanes. Ensemble prediction systems, or any collection of experts, &hellip;\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/uwm.edu\/data-science\/projects\/advanced-ensemble-prediction-systems\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Data Science at 51ÁÔÆæ\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2022-06-08T19:45:33+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"1 minute\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/uwm.edu\\\/data-science\\\/projects\\\/advanced-ensemble-prediction-systems\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/uwm.edu\\\/data-science\\\/projects\\\/advanced-ensemble-prediction-systems\\\/\",\"name\":\"Advanced Ensemble Prediction Systems - Data Science at 51ÁÔÆæ\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/uwm.edu\\\/data-science\\\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2021-07-28T22:10:22+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2022-06-08T19:45:33+00:00\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/uwm.edu\\\/data-science\\\/projects\\\/advanced-ensemble-prediction-systems\\\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/uwm.edu\\\/data-science\\\/projects\\\/advanced-ensemble-prediction-systems\\\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/uwm.edu\\\/data-science\\\/projects\\\/advanced-ensemble-prediction-systems\\\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\\\/\\\/uwm.edu\\\/data-science\\\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Research\",\"item\":\"https:\\\/\\\/uwm.edu\\\/data-science\\\/research\\\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":3,\"name\":\"Advanced Ensemble Prediction Systems\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/uwm.edu\\\/data-science\\\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/uwm.edu\\\/data-science\\\/\",\"name\":\"Data Science at 51ÁÔÆæ\",\"description\":\"\",\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/uwm.edu\\\/data-science\\\/#organization\"},\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\\\/\\\/uwm.edu\\\/data-science\\\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":{\"@type\":\"PropertyValueSpecification\",\"valueRequired\":true,\"valueName\":\"search_term_string\"}}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"Organization\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/uwm.edu\\\/data-science\\\/#organization\",\"name\":\"University of Wisconsin - Milwaukee\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/uwm.edu\\\/data-science\\\/\",\"logo\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/uwm.edu\\\/data-science\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/logo\\\/image\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/uwm.edu\\\/data-science\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/sites\\\/565\\\/2020\\\/11\\\/uwm-seo-logo.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/uwm.edu\\\/data-science\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/sites\\\/565\\\/2020\\\/11\\\/uwm-seo-logo.jpg\",\"width\":225,\"height\":224,\"caption\":\"University of Wisconsin - Milwaukee\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/uwm.edu\\\/data-science\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/logo\\\/image\\\/\"}}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO Premium plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"Data Science at 51ÁÔÆæ","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/uwm.edu\/data-science\/projects\/advanced-ensemble-prediction-systems\/","og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"Advanced Ensemble Prediction Systems","og_description":"Paul Roebber continues to develop a method, known as Evolutionary Programming, into a form that produces \u201censemble\u201d predictions for high-impact weather and climate scenarios, such as heavy rainfall, flash flooding or hurricanes. Ensemble prediction systems, or any collection of experts, &hellip;","og_url":"https:\/\/uwm.edu\/data-science\/projects\/advanced-ensemble-prediction-systems\/","og_site_name":"Data Science at 51ÁÔÆæ","article_modified_time":"2022-06-08T19:45:33+00:00","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_misc":{"Est. reading time":"1 minute"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/uwm.edu\/data-science\/projects\/advanced-ensemble-prediction-systems\/","url":"https:\/\/uwm.edu\/data-science\/projects\/advanced-ensemble-prediction-systems\/","name":"Advanced Ensemble Prediction Systems - Data Science at 51ÁÔÆæ","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/uwm.edu\/data-science\/#website"},"datePublished":"2021-07-28T22:10:22+00:00","dateModified":"2022-06-08T19:45:33+00:00","breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/uwm.edu\/data-science\/projects\/advanced-ensemble-prediction-systems\/#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/uwm.edu\/data-science\/projects\/advanced-ensemble-prediction-systems\/"]}]},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/uwm.edu\/data-science\/projects\/advanced-ensemble-prediction-systems\/#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Home","item":"https:\/\/uwm.edu\/data-science\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"Research","item":"https:\/\/uwm.edu\/data-science\/research\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":3,"name":"Advanced Ensemble Prediction Systems"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/uwm.edu\/data-science\/#website","url":"https:\/\/uwm.edu\/data-science\/","name":"Data Science at 51ÁÔÆæ","description":"","publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/uwm.edu\/data-science\/#organization"},"potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/uwm.edu\/data-science\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"Organization","@id":"https:\/\/uwm.edu\/data-science\/#organization","name":"University of Wisconsin - Milwaukee","url":"https:\/\/uwm.edu\/data-science\/","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/uwm.edu\/data-science\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/uwm.edu\/data-science\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/565\/2020\/11\/uwm-seo-logo.jpg","contentUrl":"https:\/\/uwm.edu\/data-science\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/565\/2020\/11\/uwm-seo-logo.jpg","width":225,"height":224,"caption":"University of Wisconsin - Milwaukee"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/uwm.edu\/data-science\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/"}}]}},"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/uwm.edu\/data-science\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/project\/276","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/uwm.edu\/data-science\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/project"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/uwm.edu\/data-science\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/project"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/uwm.edu\/data-science\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=276"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"project_program","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/uwm.edu\/data-science\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/project_program?post=276"},{"taxonomy":"project_topic","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/uwm.edu\/data-science\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/project_topic?post=276"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}